Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 21:30 •
Estádio Manoel Barradas
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.36)
0.81 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.3% | 21.8% | 15.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Mirassol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitoria | 0 | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.7% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vitoria | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 63% | 75% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vitoria | Mirassol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
VitoriaWLLDWL
MirassolWDDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Vitoria | Mirassol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vitoria | Mirassol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 67% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 67% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vitoria | Mirassol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vitoria | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vitoria | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vitoria | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 56.3% | 43.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.69 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.95 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.98 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…