Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 00:30 •
Arena Barueri
Expected Goals
3.34 (league 1.35)
0.74 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.7% | 9.3% | 4.9% |
best score tips
3 - 0
10.5%
2 - 0
9.4%
4 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Gremio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Palmeiras | 0 | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.5% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Palmeiras | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 53% |
| Attack | 47% | 47% |
| Defense | 73% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Palmeiras | Gremio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 75% | 75% | 0% | 38% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 75% | 38% |
PalmeirasDWWWLWWW
GremioLWLWDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Palmeiras | Gremio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Palmeiras | Gremio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 88% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 25% | 38% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Palmeiras | Gremio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Palmeiras | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Palmeiras | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 5-3 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Palmeiras | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.32 @ 1xBet
Away5.75 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365
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League standings
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