Serie A — Brazil
Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 21:30 • MorumBIS
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.78 (league 1.35) 0.47 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.8% 10.8% 4.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.1%
3 - 0
14.0%
1 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cruzeiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sao Paulo 0 3.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.8% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 7.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.0% 6.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.7% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSao PauloCruzeiro
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack31%44%
Defense75%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sao Paulo Cruzeiro
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%40%56%20%0%11%
Draws0%40%22%60%25%44%
Loses25%20%22%20%75%44%
Sao PauloWDWWWWLLD
CruzeiroLLDDLDLDW

League goals

Metric Sao Paulo Cruzeiro
HATHAT
GF total65118311
GF avg1.51.01.21.60.81.2
GA total24661016
GA avg0.50.80.71.22.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSao PauloCruzeiro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%67%78%
1.544%0%33%67%
2.50%0%22%22%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSao PauloCruzeiro
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricSao PauloCruzeiro
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSao PauloCruzeiro
Wins40
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-0—
Biggest losses0-11-01-24-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against1134

Model comparison

MetricSao PauloCruzeiro
Form58%42%
Att42%58%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total62.7%37.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Dafabet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.52 @ Betano
Under 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Bet365
No1.78 @ 188Bet
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League standings

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