Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 19:30 •
Estádio Manoel Barradas
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.35)
0.58 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.8% | 36.5% | 22.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.0%
1 - 0
20.4%
0 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sao Paulo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitoria | 0 | 23.0% | 13.4% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.4% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vitoria | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 44% | 78% |
| Defense | 33% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vitoria | Sao Paulo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 75% | 0% | 33% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 40% | 22% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Loses | 25% | 60% | 44% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
VitoriaWLLDWLWLD
Sao PauloWDWWWWLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Vitoria | Sao Paulo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vitoria | Sao Paulo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 67% | 80% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 44% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 22% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vitoria | Sao Paulo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vitoria | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vitoria | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vitoria | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 39.8% | 60.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.57 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…