Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 19:00 •
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.36)
1.30 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.6% | 26.1% | 35.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
9.6%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Fluminense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santos | 0 | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santos | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 62% |
| Defense | 62% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santos | Fluminense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 27% | 83% | 20% | 55% |
| Draws | 33% | 40% | 36% | 0% | 40% | 18% |
| Loses | 17% | 60% | 36% | 17% | 40% | 27% |
SantosLDLWDDLDWLW
FluminenseWDWLWWLWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Santos | Fluminense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 11 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santos | Fluminense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 73% | 100% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 45% | 45% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 18% | 18% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santos | Fluminense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santos | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santos | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santos | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 39.2% | 60.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.37 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Pinnacle
Away3.46 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ 10Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…