Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 21:30 •
Estádio São Januário
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.36)
1.20 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.4% | 28.3% | 38.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sao Paulo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vasco DA Gama | 0 | 9.9% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 67% | 42% |
| Defense | 42% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Sao Paulo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 27% | 80% | 33% | 55% |
| Draws | 17% | 60% | 36% | 0% | 33% | 18% |
| Loses | 33% | 40% | 36% | 20% | 33% | 27% |
Vasco DA GamaLDLLWDWWDLD
Sao PauloWDWWWWLLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Sao Paulo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vasco DA Gama | Sao Paulo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 100% | 73% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 45% | 45% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 9% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Sao Paulo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.7% | 46.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.28 @ 10Bet
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away3.55 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…