Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 21:30 •
Arena Fonte Nova
Expected Goals
2.61 (league 1.35)
1.12 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4% | 16.5% | 14.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
8.2%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Santos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bahia | 0 | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.1% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bahia | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 44% | 38% |
| Defense | 44% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bahia | Santos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Wins | 40% | 67% | 55% | 43% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 40% | 0% | 18% | 29% | 40% | 33% |
| Loses | 20% | 33% | 27% | 29% | 60% | 42% |
BahiaWDWDWWLWLWL
SantosLDLWDDLDWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Bahia | Santos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bahia | Santos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 64% | 92% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 27% | 42% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bahia | Santos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bahia | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bahia | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bahia | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 52.7% | 47.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw3.91 @ Pinnacle
Away5.36 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ William Hill
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League standings
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