Liga MX — Mexico
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 01:10 • Estadio Leon
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.54) 1.82 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.6% 23.0% 51.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tigres UANL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon 0 5.0% 9.0% 8.2% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8%
1 5.9% 10.7% 9.7% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.5% 6.3% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeonTigres UANL
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack33%27%
Defense47%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leon Tigres UANL
HATHAT
Played101020141226
Wins30%10%20%57%42%50%
Draws30%20%25%29%42%35%
Loses40%70%55%14%17%15%

Form: Leon: LWLLWDWDLDLLLLDLLWLD • Tigres UANL: WWWLDWDDDWWDWWWDWLWDDWLWLD

League goals

Metric Leon Tigres UANL
HATHAT
GF total14418291746
GF avg1.40.40.92.11.41.8
GA total152035101626
GA avg1.52.01.80.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeonTigres UANL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%80%81%58%
1.520%55%42%23%
2.55%20%19%19%
3.50%15%15%0%
4.50%5%12%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeonTigres UANL
HATHAT
Clean sheets2248311
Failed to score167325

Penalties

MetricLeonTigres UANL
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricLeonTigres UANL
Wins13
Draws13
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-17-00-2
Biggest losses2-45-01-33-0
Goals For3174
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricLeonTigres UANL
Form36%64%
Att56%44%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tigres UANL

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away2.21 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leon = 1.18 (league 1.54), Tigres UANL = 1.82 (league 1.15)

Tigres UANL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon 0 5.0% 9.0% 8.2% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8%
1 5.9% 10.7% 9.7% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.5% 6.3% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 51.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1