Liga MX — Mexico
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Victoria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.55) 1.48 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.1% 26.0% 46.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico San Luis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa 0 7.8% 11.6% 8.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.3% 12.4% 9.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.4% 6.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNecaxaAtletico San Luis
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack31%54%
Defense46%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Necaxa Atletico San Luis
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins30%18%24%10%45%29%
Draws30%18%24%10%9%10%
Loses40%64%52%80%45%62%

Form: Necaxa: LWDDLLLDWLLLLDWWDWLLL • Atletico San Luis: WLLLWLLDWLLLWWLLLLWDL

League goals

Metric Necaxa Atletico San Luis
HATHAT
GF total111627121931
GF avg1.11.51.31.21.71.5
GA total102838191635
GA avg1.02.51.81.91.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNecaxaAtletico San Luis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%95%90%76%
1.529%43%38%52%
2.524%33%14%29%
3.510%5%5%10%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNecaxaAtletico San Luis
HATHAT
Clean sheets101145
Failed to score437202

Penalties

MetricNecaxaAtletico San Luis
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricNecaxaAtletico San Luis
Wins22
Draws21
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-01-4
Biggest losses0-23-01-33-1
Goals For4434
Goals Against2544

Model comparison

MetricNecaxaAtletico San Luis
Form50%50%
Att36%64%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h93%7%
Goals72%28%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Necaxa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away3.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Necaxa = 1.07 (league 1.55), Atletico San Luis = 1.48 (league 1.15)

Atletico San Luis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa 0 7.8% 11.6% 8.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.3% 12.4% 9.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.4% 6.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.1% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 46.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1