Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Leon
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.52)
1.18 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.7% | 17.8% | 16.3% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
7.9%
3 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Santos Laguna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leon | 0 | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leon | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 7% |
| Attack | 17% | 28% |
| Defense | 56% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 16 | 3.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leon | Santos Laguna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 27% | 8% | 17% | 50% | 0% | 26% |
| Draws | 27% | 17% | 22% | 8% | 18% | 13% |
| Loses | 45% | 75% | 61% | 42% | 82% | 61% |
LeonLWLLWDWDLDLLLLDLLWLDLLL
Santos LagunaWLLWLLLDLWLLWDWLWLLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Leon | Santos Laguna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 10 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 17 | 23 | 40 | 17 | 30 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leon | Santos Laguna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 83% | 78% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 57% | 35% | 61% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 17% | 9% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leon | Santos Laguna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leon | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leon | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 5-0 | 1-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leon | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.65 @ 188Bet
Draw4.38 @ Pinnacle
Away5.30 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ Betano
Under 2.52.43 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.65 @ Pinnacle
No2.35 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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