Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Victoria
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.52)
1.23 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.6% | 30.3% | 52.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
20.7%
0 - 0
16.8%
0 - 2
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Toluca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Necaxa | 0 | 16.8% | 20.7% | 12.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Necaxa | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 33% | 28% |
| Defense | 61% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Necaxa | Toluca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 25% | 30% | 67% | 50% | 59% |
| Draws | 27% | 17% | 22% | 27% | 29% | 28% |
| Loses | 36% | 58% | 48% | 7% | 21% | 14% |
NecaxaLWDDLLLDWLLLLDWWDWLLLWW
TolucaWWLWDLWWWWWWWDDDWWDLWLWWWDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Necaxa | Toluca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 18 | 33 | 38 | 19 | 57 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 11 | 29 | 40 | 17 | 9 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Necaxa | Toluca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 96% | 72% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 39% | 59% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 30% | 45% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 4% | 14% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Necaxa | Toluca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Necaxa | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Necaxa | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 6-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 3-4 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Necaxa | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 32.8% | 67.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home5.60 @ Betano
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away1.83 @ Marathonbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.13 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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