Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio de Mazatlan
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.54) 2.37 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.1% 18.9% 58.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
1 - 1
7.9%
1 - 3
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pachuca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán 0 2.6% 6.2% 7.4% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6%
1 3.3% 7.9% 9.4% 7.4% 4.4% 2.1%
2 2.1% 5.0% 5.9% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3%
3 0.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMazatlánPachuca
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack38%54%
Defense23%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mazatlán Pachuca
HATHAT
Played121224131326
Wins17%8%13%54%31%42%
Draws50%25%38%8%38%23%
Loses33%67%50%38%31%35%

Form: Mazatlán: DWLDLDLLDDLWLDDLDLLLLLWD • Pachuca: WWWWLDLLLDWWDLDLLWLLWDDWWW

League goals

Metric Mazatlán Pachuca
HATHAT
GF total18927171734
GF avg1.50.81.11.31.31.3
GA total251843121729
GA avg2.11.51.80.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMazatlánPachuca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%96%65%73%
1.538%54%46%38%
2.50%17%19%0%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMazatlánPachuca
HATHAT
Clean sheets011437
Failed to score066549

Penalties

MetricMazatlánPachuca
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricMazatlánPachuca
Wins14
Draws22
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-00-3
Biggest losses1-53-10-22-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against5322

Model comparison

MetricMazatlánPachuca
Form27%73%
Att42%58%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total38.5%61.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pachuca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away2.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mazatlán = 1.27 (league 1.54), Pachuca = 2.37 (league 1.15)

Pachuca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán 0 2.6% 6.2% 7.4% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6%
1 3.3% 7.9% 9.4% 7.4% 4.4% 2.1%
2 2.1% 5.0% 5.9% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3%
3 0.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 58.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1