Liga MX — Mexico
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 01:06 • Estadio Leon
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.56) 1.94 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.6% 20.3% 34.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon 0 1.7% 3.2% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.6% 6.9% 6.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
2 3.9% 7.5% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.8% 5.4% 5.2% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.5% 2.9% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeonNecaxa
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack36%55%
Defense36%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leon Necaxa
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins33%8%21%33%25%29%
Draws25%17%21%25%17%21%
Loses42%75%58%42%58%50%

Form: Leon: LWLLWDWDLDLLLLDLLWLDLLLW • Necaxa: LWDDLLLDWLLLLDWWDWLLLWWL

League goals

Metric Leon Necaxa
HATHAT
GF total17421151833
GF avg1.40.30.91.31.51.4
GA total182341142943
GA avg1.51.91.71.22.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeonNecaxa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%83%67%96%
1.521%54%33%42%
2.54%17%25%33%
3.50%13%13%4%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeonNecaxa
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score189538

Penalties

MetricLeonNecaxa
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricLeonNecaxa
Wins12
Draws12
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-14-11-3
Biggest losses2-45-00-33-0
Goals For3144
Goals Against4535

Model comparison

MetricLeonNecaxa
Form40%60%
Att40%60%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Necaxa

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ 188Bet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away3.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.28 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leon = 2.16 (league 1.56), Necaxa = 1.94 (league 1.16)

Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon 0 1.7% 3.2% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.6% 6.9% 6.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
2 3.9% 7.5% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.8% 5.4% 5.2% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.5% 2.9% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 34.4%

vtt 4 , vtd1