Liga MX — Mexico
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 01:05 • Estadio BBVA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.54) 1.18 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.7% 26.3% 31.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.5%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey 0 7.5% 8.9% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.5% 12.5% 7.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.8% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonterreyCruz Azul
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack62%77%
Defense54%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monterrey Cruz Azul
HATHAT
Played131528151328
Wins62%40%50%73%38%57%
Draws31%7%18%20%46%32%
Loses8%53%32%7%15%11%

Form: Monterrey: LWWWWWWWDLWDDWLDLWLWLLWWDLWL • Cruz Azul: DDWWWWWWWDLDWDWWLDWDDLWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Monterrey Cruz Azul
HATHAT
GF total242549302050
GF avg1.81.71.82.01.51.8
GA total122941161632
GA avg0.91.91.51.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonterreyCruz Azul
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%71%89%71%
1.554%46%57%32%
2.525%14%25%11%
3.511%7%7%0%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonterreyCruz Azul
HATHAT
Clean sheets538538
Failed to score145123

Penalties

MetricMonterreyCruz Azul
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total65

Streaks

MetricMonterreyCruz Azul
Wins77
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-54-10-3
Biggest losses0-16-22-32-0
Goals For4544
Goals Against2633

Model comparison

MetricMonterreyCruz Azul
Form35%65%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total39.5%60.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cruz Azul

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.65 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ 188Bet
No2.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monterrey = 1.40 (league 1.54), Cruz Azul = 1.18 (league 1.14)

Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey 0 7.5% 8.9% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.5% 12.5% 7.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.8% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.7% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 31.6%

vtt 3 , vtd1