Liga MX — Mexico
Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Corona
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.54) 1.94 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.4% 21.8% 56.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos Laguna 0 4.9% 9.5% 9.3% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1%
1 5.3% 10.2% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.8% 5.5% 5.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantos LagunaCruz Azul
Played55
Form7%87%
Attack38%85%
Defense0%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 36 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santos Laguna Cruz Azul
HATHAT
Played121325151429
Wins50%0%24%73%43%59%
Draws8%23%16%20%43%31%
Loses42%77%60%7%14%10%

Form: Santos Laguna: WLLWLLLDLWLLWDWLWLLDLLLLD • Cruz Azul: DDWWWWWWWDLDWDWWLDWDDLWWWDWWW

League goals

Metric Santos Laguna Cruz Azul
HATHAT
GF total181331302252
GF avg1.51.01.22.01.61.8
GA total173451161632
GA avg1.42.62.01.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantos LagunaCruz Azul
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%90%69%
1.536%64%59%31%
2.58%36%24%10%
3.50%20%7%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantos LagunaCruz Azul
HATHAT
Clean sheets505549
Failed to score145123

Penalties

MetricSantos LagunaCruz Azul
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricSantos LagunaCruz Azul
Wins17
Draws12
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—4-10-3
Biggest losses1-45-12-32-0
Goals For3244
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricSantos LagunaCruz Azul
Form7%93%
Att31%69%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h29%71%
Goals47%53%
Total29.8%70.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cruz Azul

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.75 @ Bet365
Draw4.50 @ Betano
Away1.60 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.42 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Pinnacle
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santos Laguna = 1.07 (league 1.54), Cruz Azul = 1.94 (league 1.15)

Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos Laguna 0 4.9% 9.5% 9.3% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1%
1 5.3% 10.2% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.8% 5.5% 5.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.4% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 56.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1