Liga MX — Mexico
Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 03:10 • Estadio Olimpico Universitario
First Half
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.53) 1.18 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.5% 31.2% 50.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.1%
0 - 0
17.1%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Toluca
0 1 2 3 4 5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 17.1% 20.1% 11.8% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.1% 11.9% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricU.N.A.M. - PumasToluca
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack92%54%
Defense62%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric U.N.A.M. - Pumas Toluca
HATHAT
Played121426161531
Wins33%36%35%69%53%61%
Draws42%36%38%25%27%26%
Loses25%29%27%6%20%13%

Form: U.N.A.M. - Pumas: LLWDDDWWDLLLDLDWWLDWDWDWWD • Toluca: WWLWDLWWWWWWWDDDWWDLWLWWWDDDWWW

League goals

Metric U.N.A.M. - Pumas Toluca
HATHAT
GF total182240402262
GF avg1.51.61.52.51.52.0
GA total11243517926
GA avg0.91.71.31.10.60.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineU.N.A.M. - PumasToluca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%77%74%58%
1.535%35%61%19%
2.519%19%45%3%
3.512%4%13%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricU.N.A.M. - PumasToluca
HATHAT
Clean sheets4265813
Failed to score213178

Penalties

MetricU.N.A.M. - PumasToluca
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total66

Streaks

MetricU.N.A.M. - PumasToluca
Wins27
Draws33
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-46-20-3
Biggest losses2-34-13-41-0
Goals For4464
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricU.N.A.M. - PumasToluca
Form50%50%
Att63%37%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h36%64%
Goals36%64%
Total39.2%60.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Toluca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.20 @ Bet365
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away2.03 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.25 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): U.N.A.M. - Pumas = 0.59 (league 1.53), Toluca = 1.18 (league 1.15)

Toluca
0 1 2 3 4 5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 17.1% 20.1% 11.8% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.1% 11.9% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 50.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1