Liga MX — Mexico
Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio BBVA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.54) 0.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.3% 17.8% 10.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.3%
1 - 0
12.0%
3 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Club Queretaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey 0 5.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.0% 8.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.8% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonterreyClub Queretaro
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack14%24%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monterrey Club Queretaro
HATHAT
Played141529121224
Wins57%40%48%42%17%29%
Draws29%7%17%25%17%21%
Loses14%53%34%33%67%50%

Form: Monterrey: LWWWWWWWDLWDDWLDLWLWLLWWDLWLL • Club Queretaro: LLLLDWLLWDLWLWLWWDLLDWLD

League goals

Metric Monterrey Club Queretaro
HATHAT
GF total242549161026
GF avg1.71.71.71.30.81.1
GA total142943152439
GA avg1.01.91.51.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonterreyClub Queretaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%72%63%79%
1.552%48%33%54%
2.524%14%13%25%
3.510%7%0%4%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonterreyClub Queretaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets538415
Failed to score246459

Penalties

MetricMonterreyClub Queretaro
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total65

Streaks

MetricMonterreyClub Queretaro
Wins72
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-53-10-2
Biggest losses0-26-20-24-0
Goals For4532
Goals Against2634

Model comparison

MetricMonterreyClub Queretaro
Form44%56%
Att38%63%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total59.8%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : Monterrey or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Betano
Draw4.71 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monterrey = 2.21 (league 1.54), Club Queretaro = 0.70 (league 1.14)

Club Queretaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey 0 5.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.0% 8.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.8% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.3% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 10.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1