Liga MX — Mexico
Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 01:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.54) 3.19 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.3% 12.4% 67.7%
best score tips
1 - 3
8.2%
1 - 2
7.7%
0 - 3
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Tigres UANL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Puebla 0 1.4% 4.4% 7.0% 7.4% 5.9% 3.8%
1 1.5% 4.8% 7.7% 8.2% 6.5% 4.2%
2 0.8% 2.6% 4.2% 4.5% 3.6% 2.3%
3 0.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPueblaTigres UANL
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack23%100%
Defense46%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Puebla Tigres UANL
HATHAT
Played121325161531
Wins25%15%20%56%47%52%
Draws17%23%20%25%33%29%
Loses58%62%60%19%20%19%

Form: Puebla: LLWLLDLLLDLLWLDLWLWLDDLLW • Tigres UANL: WWWLDWDDDWWDWWWDWLWDDWLWLDWWLLW

League goals

Metric Puebla Tigres UANL
HATHAT
GF total151126352459
GF avg1.30.81.02.21.61.9
GA total272552132033
GA avg2.31.92.10.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePueblaTigres UANL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%80%84%65%
1.532%60%45%26%
2.58%40%23%16%
3.58%16%19%0%
4.50%4%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPueblaTigres UANL
HATHAT
Clean sheets2358311
Failed to score5611325

Penalties

MetricPueblaTigres UANL
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricPueblaTigres UANL
Wins13
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-31-27-01-4
Biggest losses0-47-01-33-0
Goals For4474
Goals Against4733

Model comparison

MetricPueblaTigres UANL
Form36%64%
Att19%81%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h7%93%
Goals19%81%
Total26.2%73.8%

Advice: Winner : Tigres UANL

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Betfair
Draw3.90 @ Betfair
Away1.82 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Puebla = 1.10 (league 1.54), Tigres UANL = 3.19 (league 1.15)

Tigres UANL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Puebla 0 1.4% 4.4% 7.0% 7.4% 5.9% 3.8%
1 1.5% 4.8% 7.7% 8.2% 6.5% 4.2%
2 0.8% 2.6% 4.2% 4.5% 3.6% 2.3%
3 0.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.3% · Draw 12.4% · Away win 67.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1