Liga MX — Mexico
Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 03:00 • Estadio Jalisco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.56) 1.66 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.5% 18.6% 23.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
6.8%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Club Tijuana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas 0 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.8% 6.3% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
2 4.9% 8.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.1% 6.8% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.6% 4.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlasClub Tijuana
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack38%19%
Defense52%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlas Club Tijuana
HATHAT
Played121325161228
Wins50%15%32%44%17%32%
Draws33%15%24%56%25%43%
Loses17%69%44%0%58%25%

Form: Atlas: WDLLDLLDDLWWLWLDLWLWWDLWL • Club Tijuana: WLDDWDWDWLWDLDLLWWWLDWDDDLDD

League goals

Metric Atlas Club Tijuana
HATHAT
GF total221234281442
GF avg1.80.91.41.81.21.5
GA total192847102636
GA avg1.62.21.90.62.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlasClub Tijuana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%80%75%64%
1.540%68%46%32%
2.524%32%21%18%
3.50%8%4%11%
4.50%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlasClub Tijuana
HATHAT
Clean sheets4159110
Failed to score257347

Penalties

MetricAtlasClub Tijuana
Scored (total | %)10 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total106

Streaks

MetricAtlasClub Tijuana
Wins23
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-35-00-2
Biggest losses0-34-1—5-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricAtlasClub Tijuana
Form64%36%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : Atlas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ SBO
Under 2.51.92 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlas = 2.54 (league 1.56), Club Tijuana = 1.66 (league 1.16)

Club Tijuana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas 0 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.8% 6.3% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
2 4.9% 8.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.1% 6.8% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.6% 4.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.5% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 23.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1