Liga MX — Mexico
Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 02:07 • Estadio Akron
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.59 (league 1.54) 0.48 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.8% 12.5% 4.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.5%
3 - 0
13.4%
1 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara Chivas 0 4.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.0% 5.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 7.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.4% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.7% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuadalajara ChivasLeon
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack64%55%
Defense55%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guadalajara Chivas Leon
HATHAT
Played141529141327
Wins64%53%59%36%8%22%
Draws14%7%10%21%15%19%
Loses21%40%31%43%77%59%

Form: Guadalajara Chivas: LWLLDLWDLWWWWLWWWDLWWWWWWLLWW • Leon: LWLLWDWDLDLLLLDLLWLDLLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Guadalajara Chivas Leon
HATHAT
GF total27214819625
GF avg1.91.41.71.40.50.9
GA total151934222749
GA avg1.11.31.21.62.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuadalajara ChivasLeon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%69%63%85%
1.555%34%26%56%
2.524%14%4%22%
3.510%0%0%15%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuadalajara ChivasLeon
HATHAT
Clean sheets639224
Failed to score3472810

Penalties

MetricGuadalajara ChivasLeon
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricGuadalajara ChivasLeon
Wins62
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-32-00-35-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricGuadalajara ChivasLeon
Form60%40%
Att54%46%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h40%60%
Goals55%45%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Double chance : Guadalajara Chivas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Betano
Draw5.30 @ Pinnacle
Away8.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara Chivas = 2.59 (league 1.54), Leon = 0.48 (league 1.14)

Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara Chivas 0 4.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.0% 5.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 7.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.4% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.7% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.8% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 4.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1