Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 02:07 •
Estadio Akron
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 1.52)
0.48 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.0% | 12.2% | 4.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.4%
3 - 0
13.5%
1 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Leon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guadalajara Chivas | 0 | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.4% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.5% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 64% | 55% |
| Defense | 55% | 9% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas | Leon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 64% | 53% | 59% | 36% | 8% | 22% |
| Draws | 14% | 7% | 10% | 21% | 15% | 19% |
| Loses | 21% | 40% | 31% | 43% | 77% | 59% |
Guadalajara ChivasLWLLDLWDLWWWWLWWWDLWWWWWWLLWW
LeonLWLLWDWDLDLLLLDLLWLDLLLWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas | Leon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 21 | 48 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 19 | 34 | 22 | 27 | 49 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guadalajara Chivas | Leon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 69% | 63% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 34% | 26% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 14% | 4% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas | Leon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 60.3% | 39.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.42 @ Betano
Draw5.30 @ Pinnacle
Away8.20 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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