Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio El Encanto
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.52)
0.50 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4% | 20.3% | 9.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
2 - 0
16.4%
3 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Leon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mazatlán | 0 | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.4% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mazatlán | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 32% | 26% |
| Defense | 58% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mazatlán | Leon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 23% | 8% | 15% | 38% | 8% | 24% |
| Draws | 46% | 23% | 35% | 23% | 17% | 20% |
| Loses | 31% | 69% | 50% | 38% | 75% | 56% |
MazatlánDWLDLDLLDDLWLDDLDLLLLLWDWL
LeonLWLLWDWDLDLLLLDLLWLDLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Mazatlán | Leon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 10 | 29 | 19 | 4 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 25 | 22 | 47 | 19 | 23 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mazatlán | Leon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 92% | 64% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 54% | 24% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 19% | 4% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 12% | 0% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mazatlán | Leon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mazatlán | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mazatlán | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 4-1 | 2-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mazatlán | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.30 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ Betfair
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…