Liga MX — Mexico
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 01:06 • Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.54) 0.63 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.1% 22.9% 13.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
2 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Puebla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca 0 9.4% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.3% 10.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 8.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.1% 5.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPachucaPuebla
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack56%38%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pachuca Puebla
HATHAT
Played141428131326
Wins57%29%43%31%15%23%
Draws7%36%21%15%23%19%
Loses36%36%36%54%62%58%

Form: Pachuca: WWWWLDLLLDWWDLDLLWLLWDDWWWLW • Puebla: LLWLLDLLLDLLWLDLWLWLDDLLWW

League goals

Metric Pachuca Puebla
HATHAT
GF total191736181129
GF avg1.41.21.31.40.81.1
GA total131831282553
GA avg0.91.31.12.21.92.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePachucaPuebla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%75%58%81%
1.546%36%35%58%
2.518%0%12%38%
3.50%0%8%15%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPachucaPuebla
HATHAT
Clean sheets437235
Failed to score55105611

Penalties

MetricPachucaPuebla
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricPachucaPuebla
Wins41
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-11-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-47-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against2247

Model comparison

MetricPachucaPuebla
Form63%37%
Att60%40%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h85%15%
Goals63%37%
Total68.2%31.8%

Advice: Double chance : Pachuca or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Betano
Draw3.75 @ Betano
Away4.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pachuca = 1.73 (league 1.54), Puebla = 0.63 (league 1.14)

Puebla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca 0 9.4% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.3% 10.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 8.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.1% 5.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.1% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 13.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1