Liga MX — Mexico
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 01:05 • Estadio Jalisco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.55) 1.82 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.8% 22.6% 44.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Guadalajara Chivas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas 0 3.6% 6.5% 5.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
1 5.4% 9.9% 9.0% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.4% 6.8% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.1% 3.7% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlasGuadalajara Chivas
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack56%44%
Defense31%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlas Guadalajara Chivas
HATHAT
Played131326131427
Wins54%15%35%62%50%56%
Draws31%15%23%15%7%11%
Loses15%69%42%23%43%33%

Form: Atlas: WDLLDLLDDLWWLWLDLWLWWDLWLW • Guadalajara Chivas: LWLLDLWDLWWWWLWWWDLWWWWWWLL

League goals

Metric Atlas Guadalajara Chivas
HATHAT
GF total241236241943
GF avg1.80.91.41.81.41.6
GA total202848151833
GA avg1.52.21.81.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlasGuadalajara Chivas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%81%74%70%
1.542%65%52%37%
2.523%31%22%15%
3.50%8%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlasGuadalajara Chivas
HATHAT
Clean sheets415538
Failed to score257347

Penalties

MetricAtlasGuadalajara Chivas
Scored (total | %)10 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total102

Streaks

MetricAtlasGuadalajara Chivas
Wins26
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-34-10-2
Biggest losses0-34-10-32-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricAtlasGuadalajara Chivas
Form44%56%
Att56%44%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guadalajara Chivas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.50 @ Betano
Draw4.00 @ Betfair
Away1.74 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlas = 1.51 (league 1.55), Guadalajara Chivas = 1.82 (league 1.16)

Guadalajara Chivas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas 0 3.6% 6.5% 5.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
1 5.4% 9.9% 9.0% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.4% 6.8% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.1% 3.7% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.8% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 44.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1