Liga MX — Mexico
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Cuauhtemoc
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.53) 2.73 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.4% 18.0% 44.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.5%
1 - 2
5.9%
2 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Puebla 0 0.7% 2.0% 2.7% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9%
1 1.6% 4.3% 5.9% 5.4% 3.7% 2.0%
2 1.7% 4.8% 6.5% 5.9% 4.0% 2.2%
3 1.3% 3.5% 4.8% 4.3% 3.0% 1.6%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.4% 1.6% 0.9%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPueblaNecaxa
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack50%29%
Defense29%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Puebla Necaxa
HATHAT
Played131427131427
Wins31%14%22%31%21%26%
Draws15%21%19%23%14%19%
Loses54%64%59%46%64%56%

Form: Puebla: LLWLLDLLLDLLWLDLWLWLDDLLWWL • Necaxa: LWDDLLLDWLLLLDWWDWLLLWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Puebla Necaxa
HATHAT
GF total181230152035
GF avg1.40.91.11.21.41.3
GA total282755153348
GA avg2.21.92.01.22.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePueblaNecaxa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%81%67%96%
1.533%59%30%44%
2.511%37%22%30%
3.57%15%11%4%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPueblaNecaxa
HATHAT
Clean sheets235101
Failed to score5611639

Penalties

MetricPueblaNecaxa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPueblaNecaxa
Wins22
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-11-3
Biggest losses0-47-00-33-0
Goals For4444
Goals Against4735

Model comparison

MetricPueblaNecaxa
Form67%33%
Att64%36%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h20%80%
Goals31%69%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : Puebla or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 188Bet
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away3.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Puebla = 2.20 (league 1.53), Necaxa = 2.73 (league 1.13)

Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Puebla 0 0.7% 2.0% 2.7% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9%
1 1.6% 4.3% 5.9% 5.4% 3.7% 2.0%
2 1.7% 4.8% 6.5% 5.9% 4.0% 2.2%
3 1.3% 3.5% 4.8% 4.3% 3.0% 1.6%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.4% 1.6% 0.9%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.4% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 44.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1