Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 03:00 •
Estadio Victoria
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.52)
0.67 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.5% | 26.8% | 17.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.3%
2 - 0
12.6%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Mazatlán | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Necaxa | 0 | 11.9% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.3% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Necaxa | Mazatlán |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 36% | 50% |
| Defense | 64% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Necaxa | Mazatlán | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 20% | 28% | 27% | 7% | 17% |
| Draws | 21% | 20% | 21% | 47% | 21% | 34% |
| Loses | 43% | 60% | 52% | 27% | 71% | 48% |
NecaxaLWDDLLLDWLLLLDWWDWLLLWWLLLLDW
MazatlánDWLDLDLLDDLWLDDLDLLLLLWDWLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Necaxa | Mazatlán | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 20 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 15 | 33 | 48 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Necaxa | Mazatlán | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 90% | 76% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 41% | 34% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 28% | 3% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 3% | 3% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Necaxa | Mazatlán | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Necaxa | Mazatlán |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Necaxa | Mazatlán |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-5 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Necaxa | Mazatlán |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.71 @ 188Bet
Draw4.58 @ Pinnacle
Away5.90 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.13 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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