Liga MX — Mexico
Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 23:00 • Estadio BBVA
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.35 (league 1.54) 1.54 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.3% 19.6% 24.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 1
7.4%
3 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico San Luis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey 0 2.0% 3.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 4.8% 7.4% 5.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.7% 6.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.8% 5.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.6% 4.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonterreyAtletico San Luis
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack57%43%
Defense43%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monterrey Atletico San Luis
HATHAT
Played161733151429
Wins56%35%45%20%36%28%
Draws25%12%18%13%7%10%
Loses19%53%36%67%57%62%

Form: Monterrey: LWWWWWWWDLWDDWLDLWLWLLWWDLWLLWLDL • Atletico San Luis: WLLLWLLDWLLLWWLLLLWDLLWLLWLDL

League goals

Metric Monterrey Atletico San Luis
HATHAT
GF total302757212243
GF avg1.91.61.71.41.61.5
GA total173249242650
GA avg1.11.91.51.61.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonterreyAtletico San Luis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%73%86%79%
1.555%48%38%52%
2.524%15%17%31%
3.512%6%7%10%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonterreyAtletico San Luis
HATHAT
Clean sheets639246
Failed to score257314

Penalties

MetricMonterreyAtletico San Luis
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total66

Streaks

MetricMonterreyAtletico San Luis
Wins72
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-54-11-4
Biggest losses0-26-21-34-1
Goals For4544
Goals Against3644

Model comparison

MetricMonterreyAtletico San Luis
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total57.3%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Monterrey or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Betano
Draw4.59 @ Pinnacle
Away6.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.35 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monterrey = 2.35 (league 1.54), Atletico San Luis = 1.54 (league 1.14)

Atletico San Luis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey 0 2.0% 3.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 4.8% 7.4% 5.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.7% 6.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.8% 5.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.6% 4.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.3% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 24.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1