Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Cuauhtemoc
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.52)
0.83 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.8% | 21.9% | 16.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Leon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Puebla | 0 | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Puebla | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 46% | 46% |
| Defense | 54% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Puebla | Leon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 27% | 13% | 20% | 40% | 13% | 27% |
| Draws | 27% | 20% | 23% | 20% | 13% | 17% |
| Loses | 47% | 67% | 57% | 40% | 73% | 57% |
PueblaLLWLLDLLLDLLWLDLWLWLDDLLWWLDLD
LeonLWLLWDWDLDLLLLDLLWLDLLLWWLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Puebla | Leon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 13 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 29 | 29 | 58 | 22 | 33 | 55 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Puebla | Leon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 63% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 57% | 30% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 33% | 3% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 13% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Puebla | Leon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Puebla | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Puebla | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 7-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Puebla | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Dafabet
Away3.05 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.11 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…