Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 19:45 • Tolka Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.39 (league 1.33) 3.70 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.6% 14.4% 31.5%
best score tips
3 - 3
4.6%
3 - 4
4.2%
2 - 3
4.0%
Score & goals probability table
Shamrock Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shelbourne 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%
1 0.3% 1.0% 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 1.6%
2 0.5% 1.8% 3.3% 4.0% 3.7% 2.8%
3 0.5% 2.0% 3.7% 4.6% 4.2% 3.1%
4 0.5% 1.7% 3.1% 3.9% 3.6% 2.6%
5 0.3% 1.1% 2.1% 2.6% 2.4% 1.8%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShelbourneShamrock Rovers
Played44
Form42%58%
Attack43%43%
Defense57%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.56 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.54 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

89%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shelbourne Shamrock Rovers
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins0%50%25%67%0%50%
Draws50%50%50%33%0%25%
Loses50%0%25%0%100%25%

Form: Shelbourne: DDWL • Shamrock Rovers: WDLW

League goals

Metric Shelbourne Shamrock Rovers
HATHAT
GF total336426
GF avg1.51.51.51.32.01.5
GA total426134
GA avg2.01.01.50.33.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShelbourneShamrock Rovers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%50%
1.550%25%50%25%
2.50%25%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShelbourneShamrock Rovers
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricShelbourneShamrock Rovers
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricShelbourneShamrock Rovers
Wins11
Draws21
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-22-0—
Biggest losses2-3——3-2
Goals For2222
Goals Against3113

Model comparison

MetricShelbourneShamrock Rovers
Form42%58%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Shamrock Rovers and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ 10Bet
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ SBO
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shelbourne = 3.39 (league 1.33), Shamrock Rovers = 3.70 (league 1.08)

Shamrock Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shelbourne 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5%
1 0.3% 1.0% 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 1.6%
2 0.5% 1.8% 3.3% 4.0% 3.7% 2.8%
3 0.5% 2.0% 3.7% 4.6% 4.2% 3.1%
4 0.5% 1.7% 3.1% 3.9% 3.6% 2.6%
5 0.3% 1.1% 2.1% 2.6% 2.4% 1.8%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.6% · Draw 14.4% · Away win 31.5%

vtt 7 , vtd1