Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 20:00 • Tolka Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.34) 1.20 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.0% 30.2% 46.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.1%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
St Patrick's Athl.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shelbourne 0 14.3% 17.1% 10.3% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.7% 12.8% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.0% 4.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.
Played34
Form56%58%
Attack29%36%
Defense79%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.35 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 12 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shelbourne St Patrick's Athl.
HATHAT
Played123224
Wins0%50%33%100%0%50%
Draws100%50%67%0%50%25%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%25%

Form: Shelbourne: DDW • St Patrick's Athl.: DLWW

League goals

Metric Shelbourne St Patrick's Athl.
HATHAT
GF total134505
GF avg1.01.51.32.50.01.3
GA total123022
GA avg1.01.01.00.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%50%25%
1.533%0%25%25%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.
Wins00
Draws21
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-24-0—
Biggest losses———2-0
Goals For1240
Goals Against1102

Model comparison

MetricShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.
Form42%58%
Att44%56%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total47.6%52.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Shelbourne or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shelbourne = 0.75 (league 1.34), St Patrick's Athl. = 1.20 (league 1.08)

St Patrick's Athl.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shelbourne 0 14.3% 17.1% 10.3% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.7% 12.8% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.0% 4.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 46.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1