Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 20:00 • Tallaght Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.32) 0.92 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.1% 24.0% 20.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Derry City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shamrock Rovers 0 7.3% 6.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.4% 11.4% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.6% 9.7% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.0% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShamrock RoversDerry City
Played34
Form44%58%
Attack36%57%
Defense71%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.78 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.36 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shamrock Rovers Derry City
HATHAT
Played213404
Wins50%0%33%50%—50%
Draws50%0%33%25%—25%
Loses0%100%33%25%—25%

Form: Shamrock Rovers: WDL • Derry City: WDLW

League goals

Metric Shamrock Rovers Derry City
HATHAT
GF total325808
GF avg1.52.01.72.00.02.0
GA total134606
GA avg0.53.01.31.50.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShamrock RoversDerry City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%75%100%
1.567%33%75%50%
2.50%33%25%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShamrock RoversDerry City
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricShamrock RoversDerry City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricShamrock RoversDerry City
Wins11
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—4-2—
Biggest losses—3-20-1—
Goals For2240
Goals Against1320

Model comparison

MetricShamrock RoversDerry City
Form36%64%
Att38%62%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Derry City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ 188Bet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shamrock Rovers = 1.70 (league 1.32), Derry City = 0.92 (league 1.09)

Derry City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shamrock Rovers 0 7.3% 6.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.4% 11.4% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.6% 9.7% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.0% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.1% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 20.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1