Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:45 • Oriel Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.34) 0.93 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.4% 18.7% 14.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Waterford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dundalk 0 4.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.4% 8.7% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.6% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.4% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDundalkWaterford
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack43%21%
Defense29%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dundalk Waterford
HATHAT
Played145325
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws100%75%80%67%0%40%
Loses0%25%20%33%100%60%

Form: Dundalk: DDDLD • Waterford: DLDLL

League goals

Metric Dundalk Waterford
HATHAT
GF total156123
GF avg1.01.31.20.31.00.6
GA total1910268
GA avg1.02.32.00.73.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDundalkWaterford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%100%40%80%
1.540%60%20%40%
2.50%20%0%20%
3.50%20%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDundalkWaterford
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricDundalkWaterford
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricDundalkWaterford
Wins00
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses—4-00-14-2
Goals For1212
Goals Against1414

Model comparison

MetricDundalkWaterford
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h7%93%
Goals27%73%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : Dundalk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ 188Bet
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away4.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dundalk = 2.24 (league 1.34), Waterford = 0.93 (league 1.08)

Waterford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dundalk 0 4.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.4% 8.7% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.6% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.4% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.4% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 14.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1