Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 19:45 • Oriel Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.33) 0.14 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
83.5% 12.2% 1.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
23.2%
1 - 0
20.5%
3 - 0
17.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sligo Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dundalk 0 9.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.2% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.5% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDundalkSligo Rovers
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack56%13%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dundalk Sligo Rovers
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins50%0%17%33%0%17%
Draws50%75%67%0%33%17%
Loses0%25%17%67%67%67%

Form: Dundalk: DDDLDW • Sligo Rovers: LLDLWL

League goals

Metric Dundalk Sligo Rovers
HATHAT
GF total6511213
GF avg3.01.31.80.70.30.5
GA total19107310
GA avg0.52.31.72.31.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDundalkSligo Rovers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%33%83%
1.550%50%17%50%
2.517%17%0%17%
3.517%17%0%17%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDundalkSligo Rovers
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricDundalkSligo Rovers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDundalkSligo Rovers
Wins01
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-0—2-1—
Biggest losses—4-00-42-1
Goals For5221
Goals Against1442

Model comparison

MetricDundalkSligo Rovers
Form60%40%
Att82%18%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h29%71%
Goals23%77%
Total56.2%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Dundalk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.05 @ 188Bet
Away5.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.03 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dundalk = 2.26 (league 1.33), Sligo Rovers = 0.14 (league 1.08)

Sligo Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dundalk 0 9.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.2% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.5% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 83.5% · Draw 12.2% · Away win 1.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1