Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 19:45 • Richmond Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.33) 0.42 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.8% 15.1% 5.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.6%
1 - 0
15.6%
3 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Derry City
0 1 2 3 4 5
St Patrick's Athl. 0 6.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.6% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 5.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSt Patrick's Athl.Derry City
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack75%44%
Defense69%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric St Patrick's Athl. Derry City
HATHAT
Played336516
Wins100%33%67%40%0%33%
Draws0%33%17%20%0%17%
Loses0%33%17%40%100%50%

Form: St Patrick's Athl.: DLWWWW • Derry City: WDLWLL

League goals

Metric St Patrick's Athl. Derry City
HATHAT
GF total9312909
GF avg3.01.02.01.80.01.5
GA total145819
GA avg0.31.30.81.61.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSt Patrick's Athl.Derry City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%50%67%100%
1.550%33%50%50%
2.550%0%17%0%
3.533%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSt Patrick's Athl.Derry City
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricSt Patrick's Athl.Derry City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSt Patrick's Athl.Derry City
Wins01
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-34-2—
Biggest losses—2-01-21-0
Goals For4340
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricSt Patrick's Athl.Derry City
Form75%25%
Att63%37%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total61.2%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : St Patrick's Athl. or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): St Patrick's Athl. = 2.26 (league 1.33), Derry City = 0.42 (league 1.08)

Derry City
0 1 2 3 4 5
St Patrick's Athl. 0 6.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.6% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 5.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.8% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 5.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1