Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 19:45 •
Richmond Park
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.39)
0.42 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.7% | 16.1% | 5.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.7%
1 - 0
16.4%
3 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Derry City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| St Patrick's Athl. | 0 | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.4% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.7% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | St Patrick's Athl. | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 75% | 44% |
| Defense | 69% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | St Patrick's Athl. | Derry City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 67% | 40% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 20% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 40% | 100% | 50% |
St Patrick's Athl.DLWWWW
Derry CityWDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | St Patrick's Athl. | Derry City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | St Patrick's Athl. | Derry City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 50% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | St Patrick's Athl. | Derry City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | St Patrick's Athl. | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | St Patrick's Athl. | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 4-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | St Patrick's Athl. | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 63% | 37% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.77 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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