Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 18:45 • Tolka Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.35) 1.66 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.3% 21.8% 32.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Dundalk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shelbourne 0 2.8% 4.6% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
1 5.3% 8.8% 7.3% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.2% 8.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.3% 5.5% 4.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.6% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShelbourneDundalk
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack64%82%
Defense45%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shelbourne Dundalk
HATHAT
Played448358
Wins0%75%38%67%0%25%
Draws75%25%50%33%80%63%
Loses25%0%13%0%20%13%

Form: Shelbourne: DDWLDWDW • Dundalk: DDDLDWWD

League goals

Metric Shelbourne Dundalk
HATHAT
GF total56117613
GF avg1.31.51.42.31.21.6
GA total63911011
GA avg1.50.81.10.32.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShelbourneDundalk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%88%75%
1.550%25%38%38%
2.50%13%13%13%
3.50%0%13%13%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShelbourneDundalk
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricShelbourneDundalk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricShelbourneDundalk
Wins12
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-25-0—
Biggest losses2-3——4-0
Goals For2252
Goals Against3114

Model comparison

MetricShelbourneDundalk
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h85%15%
Goals80%20%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Shelbourne or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ 188Bet
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away5.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shelbourne = 1.93 (league 1.35), Dundalk = 1.66 (league 1.09)

Dundalk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shelbourne 0 2.8% 4.6% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
1 5.3% 8.8% 7.3% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.2% 8.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.3% 5.5% 4.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.6% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 32.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1