Fri, Apr 10 2026 • 18:45 •
Oriel Park
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.40)
0.08 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0% | 27.5% | 2.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
32.5%
0 - 0
24.8%
2 - 0
21.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Derry City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dundalk | 0 | 24.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 32.5% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dundalk | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 20% |
| Attack | 86% | 29% |
| Defense | 79% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dundalk | Derry City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 75% | 17% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 25% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 10% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
DundalkDDDLDWWDWW
Derry CityWDLWLLDDLD
League goals
| Metric | Dundalk | Derry City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 9 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dundalk | Derry City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 40% | 40% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 10% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dundalk | Derry City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dundalk | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dundalk | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-3 | 4-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dundalk | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 81% | 19% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 95% | 5% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 62.3% | 37.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.80 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.98 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.16 @ SBO
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.93 @ BetVictor
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League standings
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