Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:45 •
Tolka Park
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.40)
1.00 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.6% | 30.9% | 34.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
13.6%
1 - 0
13.6%
0 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Derry City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shelbourne | 0 | 13.6% | 13.5% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Shelbourne | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 54% | 38% |
| Defense | 46% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Shelbourne | Derry City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 0% | 60% | 30% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Draws | 60% | 20% | 40% | 33% | 60% | 45% |
| Loses | 40% | 20% | 30% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
ShelbourneDDWLDWDWLL
Derry CityWDLWLLDDLDD
League goals
| Metric | Shelbourne | Derry City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Shelbourne | Derry City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 80% | 64% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | 45% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 30% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Shelbourne | Derry City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Shelbourne | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Shelbourne | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 4-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Shelbourne | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.29 @ 188Bet
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away4.42 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ SBO
Under 2.51.67 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.89 @ 188Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…