Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:45 • Finn Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.57) 2.05 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.4% 21.3% 53.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
9.4%
0 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Wexford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Finn Harps 0 3.6% 7.4% 7.5% 5.1% 2.6% 1.1%
1 4.6% 9.4% 9.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.4%
2 2.9% 6.0% 6.2% 4.2% 2.1% 0.9%
3 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFinn HarpsWexford
Played33
Form44%44%
Attack36%55%
Defense64%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.36 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.36 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Finn Harps Wexford
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins100%0%33%0%50%33%
Draws0%50%33%0%50%33%
Loses0%50%33%100%0%33%

Form: Finn Harps: LWD • Wexford: WLD

League goals

Metric Finn Harps Wexford
HATHAT
GF total224156
GF avg2.01.01.31.02.52.0
GA total134426
GA avg1.01.51.34.01.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFinn HarpsWexford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%67%
1.533%33%67%67%
2.50%0%33%33%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFinn HarpsWexford
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFinn HarpsWexford
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFinn HarpsWexford
Wins11
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1——0-3
Biggest losses—2-11-4—
Goals For2113
Goals Against1242

Model comparison

MetricFinn HarpsWexford
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h15%85%
Goals35%65%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Wexford

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.74 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away2.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ SBO
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Finn Harps = 1.28 (league 1.57), Wexford = 2.05 (league 1.22)

Wexford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Finn Harps 0 3.6% 7.4% 7.5% 5.1% 2.6% 1.1%
1 4.6% 9.4% 9.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.4%
2 2.9% 6.0% 6.2% 4.2% 2.1% 0.9%
3 1.3% 2.6% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 53.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1