Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:45 • Finn Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.57) 0.41 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.7% 26.5% 10.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.7%
2 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Treaty United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Finn Harps 0 15.8% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 9.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFinn HarpsTreaty United
Played44
Form42%8%
Attack45%18%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.32 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.36 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Finn Harps Treaty United
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%0%0%0%
Draws50%50%50%50%0%25%
Loses0%50%25%50%100%75%

Form: Finn Harps: LWDD • Treaty United: LLLD

League goals

Metric Finn Harps Treaty United
HATHAT
GF total325202
GF avg1.51.01.31.00.00.5
GA total235336
GA avg1.01.51.31.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFinn HarpsTreaty United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%25%100%
1.525%25%25%50%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFinn HarpsTreaty United
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricFinn HarpsTreaty United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFinn HarpsTreaty United
Wins10
Draws00
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1———
Biggest losses—2-10-12-0
Goals For2120
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricFinn HarpsTreaty United
Form83%17%
Att71%29%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Finn Harps or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away3.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Finn Harps = 1.44 (league 1.57), Treaty United = 0.41 (league 1.22)

Treaty United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Finn Harps 0 15.8% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 9.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.7% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 10.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1