Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:45 •
Mounthawk Park
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.51)
0.84 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.3% | 38.3% | 41.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.1%
0 - 1
22.1%
1 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Finn Harps | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kerry | 0 | 26.1% | 22.1% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kerry | Finn Harps |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 36% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kerry | Finn Harps | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 50% | 67% | 60% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
KerryLLDDD
Finn HarpsLWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Kerry | Finn Harps | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kerry | Finn Harps | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kerry | Finn Harps | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kerry | Finn Harps |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kerry | Finn Harps |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kerry | Finn Harps |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 41.5% | 58.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away3.30 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ William Hill
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League standings
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