Iraqi League — Iraq
Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.81 (league 1.23) 2.45 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.8% 17.5% 31.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.2%
3 - 2
5.8%
2 - 3
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
Naft Maysan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosul 0 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
1 1.5% 3.6% 4.4% 3.6% 2.2% 1.1%
2 2.0% 5.0% 6.2% 5.0% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.9% 4.7% 5.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4%
4 1.3% 3.3% 4.1% 3.3% 2.0% 1.0%
5 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMosulNaft Maysan
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack73%45%
Defense45%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mosul Naft Maysan
HATHAT
Played246437
Wins50%50%50%0%33%14%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%14%
Loses50%50%50%75%67%71%

Form: Mosul: LWWLLW • Naft Maysan: LWLLLLD

League goals

Metric Mosul Naft Maysan
HATHAT
GF total358448
GF avg1.51.31.31.01.31.1
GA total4378715
GA avg2.00.81.22.02.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMosulNaft Maysan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%86%100%
1.550%17%29%71%
2.517%17%0%29%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMosulNaft Maysan
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricMosulNaft Maysan
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricMosulNaft Maysan
Wins21
Draws00
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-3—1-2
Biggest losses1-31-01-34-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against3134

Model comparison

MetricMosulNaft Maysan
Form90%10%
Att62%38%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total67.3%32.8%

Advice: Double chance : Mosul or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mosul = 2.81 (league 1.23), Naft Maysan = 2.45 (league 1.06)

Naft Maysan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosul 0 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
1 1.5% 3.6% 4.4% 3.6% 2.2% 1.1%
2 2.0% 5.0% 6.2% 5.0% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.9% 4.7% 5.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4%
4 1.3% 3.3% 4.1% 3.3% 2.0% 1.0%
5 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 31.4%

vtt 3 , vtd1