Iraqi League — Iraq
Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 15:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.25 (league 1.18) 0.61 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.1% 49.0% 37.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
42.3%
0 - 1
25.7%
1 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Erbil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diyala 0 42.3% 25.7% 7.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.7% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDiyalaErbil
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack60%60%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Diyala Erbil
HATHAT
Played246437
Wins50%75%67%100%67%86%
Draws50%0%17%0%33%14%
Loses0%25%17%0%0%0%

Form: Diyala: WWWDLW • Erbil: WWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Diyala Erbil
HATHAT
GF total2688412
GF avg1.01.51.32.01.31.7
GA total145415
GA avg0.51.00.81.00.30.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDiyalaErbil
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%86%57%
1.550%17%57%14%
2.50%0%29%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDiyalaErbil
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricDiyalaErbil
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricDiyalaErbil
Wins32
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-21-3
Biggest losses—2-1——
Goals For2233
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricDiyalaErbil
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Erbil and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.75 @ Bet365
Away3.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.87 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Diyala = 0.25 (league 1.18), Erbil = 0.61 (league 1.07)

Erbil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diyala 0 42.3% 25.7% 7.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.7% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.1% · Draw 49.0% · Away win 37.8%

vtt 4 , vtd1