Iraqi League — Iraq
Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 15:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.24) 0.85 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.3% 29.6% 25.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Baghdad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newroz 0 12.7% 10.8% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.4% 13.1% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.3% 7.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewrozBaghdad
Played55
Form0%60%
Attack30%70%
Defense0%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newroz Baghdad
HATHAT
Played437527
Wins25%0%14%40%50%43%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses75%100%86%60%50%57%

Form: Newroz: WLLLLLL • Baghdad: LLWWLLW

League goals

Metric Newroz Baghdad
HATHAT
GF total437718
GF avg1.01.01.01.40.51.1
GA total79168311
GA avg1.83.02.31.61.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewrozBaghdad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%100%57%86%
1.529%86%29%43%
2.514%29%14%29%
3.50%14%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewrozBaghdad
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricNewrozBaghdad
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricNewrozBaghdad
Wins12
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2—4-10-1
Biggest losses0-24-00-33-0
Goals For3241
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricNewrozBaghdad
Form0%100%
Att30%70%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total40.3%59.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Baghdad

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newroz = 1.21 (league 1.24), Baghdad = 0.85 (league 1.06)

Baghdad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newroz 0 12.7% 10.8% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.4% 13.1% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.3% 7.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 25.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1