Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 22:00 • Estadio Victoria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.61) 4.26 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.9% 3.4% 70.0%
best score tips
0 - 4
13.0%
0 - 3
12.2%
0 - 5
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Tigres UANL W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa W 0 0.9% 4.0% 8.6% 12.2% 13.0% 11.1%
1 0.4% 1.6% 3.4% 4.9% 5.2% 4.4%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNecaxa WTigres UANL W
Played55
Form0%60%
Attack7%50%
Defense0%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Necaxa W Tigres UANL W
HATHAT
Played8917121123
Wins13%11%12%75%64%70%
Draws25%0%12%17%36%26%
Loses63%89%76%8%0%4%

Form: Necaxa W: WLLDLDLLWLLLLLLLL • Tigres UANL W: DWWWWWLWWWWDWWWWDWDDWDW

League goals

Metric Necaxa W Tigres UANL W
HATHAT
GF total639402868
GF avg0.80.30.53.32.53.0
GA total1822407916
GA avg2.32.42.40.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNecaxa WTigres UANL W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.529%100%91%43%
1.518%53%74%17%
2.56%41%48%9%
3.50%29%35%0%
4.50%12%22%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNecaxa WTigres UANL W
HATHAT
Clean sheets0007613
Failed to score5712112

Penalties

MetricNecaxa WTigres UANL W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricNecaxa WTigres UANL W
Wins15
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-29-00-7
Biggest losses0-55-02-3—
Goals For3297
Goals Against5533

Model comparison

MetricNecaxa WTigres UANL W
Form0%100%
Att13%88%
Def26%74%
Poisson Distribution9%91%
H2h0%100%
Goals9%91%
Total14.3%86.0%

Advice: Winner : Tigres UANL W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home56.00 @ Betfair
Draw21.00 @ Betfair
Away1.03 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.17 @ Bet365
Under 2.55.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes4.10 @ Marathonbet
No1.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Necaxa W = 0.40 (league 1.61), Tigres UANL W = 4.26 (league 1.35)

Tigres UANL W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa W 0 0.9% 4.0% 8.6% 12.2% 13.0% 11.1%
1 0.4% 1.6% 3.4% 4.9% 5.2% 4.4%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.9% · Draw 3.4% · Away win 70.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1