Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 22:00 •
Estadio Victoria
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.66)
4.36 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8% | 3.1% | 68.8% |
best score tips
0 - 4
13.1%
0 - 3
12.0%
0 - 5
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Tigres UANL W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Necaxa W | 0 | 0.9% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.4% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Necaxa W | Tigres UANL W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 60% |
| Attack | 7% | 50% |
| Defense | 0% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Necaxa W | Tigres UANL W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 13% | 11% | 12% | 75% | 64% | 70% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 12% | 17% | 36% | 26% |
| Loses | 63% | 89% | 76% | 8% | 0% | 4% |
Necaxa WWLLDLDLLWLLLLLLLL
Tigres UANL WDWWWWWLWWWWDWWWWDWDDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Necaxa W | Tigres UANL W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 28 | 68 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 18 | 22 | 40 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Necaxa W | Tigres UANL W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 29% | 100% | 91% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 53% | 74% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 41% | 48% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 29% | 35% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 12% | 22% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Necaxa W | Tigres UANL W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Necaxa W | Tigres UANL W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Necaxa W | Tigres UANL W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 9-0 | 0-7 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 5-0 | 2-3 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Necaxa W | Tigres UANL W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 13% | 88% |
| Def | 26% | 74% |
| Poisson Distribution | 9% | 91% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 9% | 91% |
| Total | 14.3% | 86.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home56.00 @ Betfair
Draw21.00 @ Betfair
Away1.03 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.17 @ Bet365
Under 2.55.50 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes4.10 @ Marathonbet
No1.40 @ Betfair
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League standings
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