Mon, Jan 5 2026 • 00:00 • Cancha El Barrial
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.62) 0.53 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.5% 15.5% 6.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.6%
1 - 0
13.5%
3 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Puebla W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey W 0 5.8% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 7.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.6% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.0% 6.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.9% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonterrey WPuebla W
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack53%16%
Defense53%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monterrey W Puebla W
HATHAT
Played910198917
Wins56%50%53%0%11%6%
Draws22%10%16%0%33%18%
Loses22%40%32%100%56%76%

Form: Monterrey W: LWWWWLWDDLWLWLWWWDL • Puebla W: LLLLLLDLLWDLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Monterrey W Puebla W
HATHAT
GF total201939358
GF avg2.21.92.10.40.60.5
GA total111930281543
GA avg1.21.91.63.51.72.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonterrey WPuebla W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%74%47%94%
1.547%37%0%71%
2.542%21%0%41%
3.526%21%0%24%
4.516%5%0%18%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonterrey WPuebla W
HATHAT
Clean sheets145011
Failed to score145549

Penalties

MetricMonterrey WPuebla W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMonterrey WPuebla W
Wins41
Draws21
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-5—0-1
Biggest losses0-25-00-64-1
Goals For5511
Goals Against2564

Model comparison

MetricMonterrey WPuebla W
Form91%9%
Att77%23%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h100%0%
Goals94%6%
Total80.0%20.0%

Advice: Winner : Monterrey W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.06 @ Bet365
Draw15.76 @ Pinnacle
Away39.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.20 @ 10Bet
Under 2.54.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ William Hill
No1.69 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monterrey W = 2.31 (league 1.62), Puebla W = 0.53 (league 1.35)

Puebla W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey W 0 5.8% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 7.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.6% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.0% 6.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.9% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.5% · Draw 15.5% · Away win 6.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1