Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 00:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.66) 3.61 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.6% 13.3% 55.5%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.3%
2 - 3
5.7%
1 - 4
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cruz Azul W
0 1 2 3 4 5
León W 0 0.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.5% 3.1% 2.3%
1 0.8% 2.9% 5.2% 6.3% 5.7% 4.1%
2 0.7% 2.6% 4.7% 5.7% 5.1% 3.7%
3 0.4% 1.6% 2.8% 3.4% 3.1% 2.2%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeón WCruz Azul W
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack53%59%
Defense0%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)19 | 3.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric León W Cruz Azul W
HATHAT
Played8917111021
Wins38%56%47%45%40%43%
Draws25%11%18%18%30%24%
Loses38%33%35%36%30%33%

Form: León W: DWLDLWDWWLWWLWLLW • Cruz Azul W: LWLLDWDWLWLWDWWWDLWDL

League goals

Metric León W Cruz Azul W
HATHAT
GF total161632252550
GF avg2.01.81.92.32.52.4
GA total151833171532
GA avg1.92.01.91.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeón WCruz Azul W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%76%90%81%
1.559%47%57%52%
2.529%24%48%19%
3.512%12%38%0%
4.56%12%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeón WCruz Azul W
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score123202

Penalties

MetricLeón WCruz Azul W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricLeón WCruz Azul W
Wins23
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-34-00-5
Biggest losses2-59-00-23-1
Goals For5445
Goals Against5933

Model comparison

MetricLeón WCruz Azul W
Form55%45%
Att47%53%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h100%0%
Goals73%27%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : León W or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.20 @ 10Bet
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away1.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): León W = 1.81 (league 1.66), Cruz Azul W = 3.61 (league 1.32)

Cruz Azul W
0 1 2 3 4 5
León W 0 0.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.5% 3.1% 2.3%
1 0.8% 2.9% 5.2% 6.3% 5.7% 4.1%
2 0.7% 2.6% 4.7% 5.7% 5.1% 3.7%
3 0.4% 1.6% 2.8% 3.4% 3.1% 2.2%
4 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.6% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 55.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1