Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 00:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.66) 0.68 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.0% 18.3% 10.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.6%
1 - 0
12.6%
3 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Tijuana W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca W 0 5.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 8.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.7% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToluca WTijuana W
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack53%53%
Defense65%12%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.215 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toluca W Tijuana W
HATHAT
Played910198917
Wins67%40%53%25%22%24%
Draws11%50%32%25%11%18%
Loses22%10%16%50%67%59%

Form: Toluca W: DWWWWWDLWWLDDWDWWDL • Tijuana W: DLLDLLLLWDWLWLLWL

League goals

Metric Toluca W Tijuana W
HATHAT
GF total19183710919
GF avg2.11.81.91.31.01.1
GA total81321181533
GA avg0.91.31.12.31.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToluca WTijuana W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%68%71%82%
1.563%26%29%59%
2.526%11%12%24%
3.511%5%0%18%
4.55%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToluca WTijuana W
HATHAT
Clean sheets426213
Failed to score213055

Penalties

MetricToluca WTijuana W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricToluca WTijuana W
Wins51
Draws21
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-31-62-0
Goals For6323
Goals Against3464

Model comparison

MetricToluca WTijuana W
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : Toluca W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ 188Bet
Draw4.90 @ 10Bet
Away6.23 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.95 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toluca W = 2.15 (league 1.66), Tijuana W = 0.68 (league 1.32)

Tijuana W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca W 0 5.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 8.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.7% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.0% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 10.5%

vtt 3 , vtd1