Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 02:06 • Estadio Corona
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.60) 2.95 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.4% 13.8% 67.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.4%
1 - 3
8.2%
0 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos Laguna W 0 1.8% 5.4% 7.9% 7.8% 5.8% 3.4%
1 1.9% 5.7% 8.4% 8.2% 6.1% 3.6%
2 1.0% 3.0% 4.4% 4.3% 3.2% 1.9%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantos Laguna WAmérica W
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack19%44%
Defense70%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santos Laguna W América W
HATHAT
Played8917121123
Wins38%0%18%67%64%65%
Draws13%22%18%17%18%17%
Loses50%78%65%17%18%17%

Form: Santos Laguna W: DLLWLLLLLDLLWDLWL • América W: WWWWWWWWLDLDWWLWWDWWWDL

League goals

Metric Santos Laguna W América W
HATHAT
GF total10919412869
GF avg1.31.01.13.42.53.0
GA total132740131427
GA avg1.63.02.41.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantos Laguna WAmérica W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%88%91%61%
1.524%59%83%39%
2.512%41%52%17%
3.50%24%26%0%
4.50%18%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantos Laguna WAmérica W
HATHAT
Clean sheets202639
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricSantos Laguna WAmérica W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total27

Streaks

MetricSantos Laguna WAmérica W
Wins18
Draws11
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-111-01-5
Biggest losses3-55-00-23-2
Goals For33115
Goals Against5633

Model comparison

MetricSantos Laguna WAmérica W
Form41%59%
Att29%71%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h0%100%
Goals12%88%
Total28.2%71.8%

Advice: Winner : América W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home29.00 @ William Hill
Draw13.00 @ William Hill
Away1.11 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.22 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.10 @ Betfair
No1.92 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santos Laguna W = 1.06 (league 1.60), América W = 2.95 (league 1.36)

América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos Laguna W 0 1.8% 5.4% 7.9% 7.8% 5.8% 3.4%
1 1.9% 5.7% 8.4% 8.2% 6.1% 3.6%
2 1.0% 3.0% 4.4% 4.3% 3.2% 1.9%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.4% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 67.9%

vtt 6 , vtd1